New bird flu killing more wild birds than ever before

By Mark Waghorn via SWNS

A new outbreak of bird flu sweeping the world may be the deadliest to date, according to new research.

Scientists say it is "highly pathogenic" - and has sent the price of eggs soaring.

Some wild mammals - such as seals and wild dogs - are now catching the disease.

It has also spilt over into foxes and otters. There are fears it could spread to humans - triggering the next pandemic.

Co-author Dr Jennifer Mullinax, of the University of Maryland, said: "This high pathogenic virus is wiping out everything in numbers that we have never seen before."

Bird flu, or H5N1, is an infectious disease of poultry and wild birds that has been around for a century.

It usually flares up in autumn before fading away in spring and summer. But this is different, say scientists.

Dr. Mullinax and colleagues found the impact on wild birds and a shift from seasonal to year-round infections signal dangerous changes in the US.

There is an urgent need for unprecedented coordination at a national and regional scale, they warned.

The team also suggests H5N1 will likely become endemic - potentially posing risks to food security and the economy.

It can wipe out entire flocks of domestic birds within a matter of days, through birds' droppings and saliva, or through contaminated feed and water.

More wild birds than ever before have been killed by this outbreak - with sea birds being especially hard hit.

The virus has been detected in dozens of species, including buzzards, golden eagles, gannets, and gulls.

More than 40% of the skua population in Scotland and thousands of Dalmatian pelicans in Greece have died.

The UK's National Trust says between 30,000 and 50,000 wild birds may have died of bird flu on the UK's Farne Islands.

Dr. Mullinax said: "This paper illustrates how unprecedented it is, and describes what we think is coming.

"It's really a call to arms saying, we can't afford to address this from our individual silos.

"Federal agencies, state agencies, the agriculture sector, and wildlife management, we are all going to have to deal with this together, because we can't afford not to."

In the UK, a number of wild mammals such as otters, foxes, dolphins and seals have died after being infected with H5N1 bird flu - probably from feeding on wild birds which died from the disease.

Local authorities are telling members of the public to keep their dogs away from the carcasses of dead wild animals such as seals.

H5N1 bird flu has also been found in grizzly bears in the US, captive mink in Canada and wild dogs in a zoo in the UK.

The study, published in the journal Conservation Biology, is based on an analysis of five different data sources from the last decade.

They provide information on the incidence of highly pathogenic avian influenza in wild birds and poultry focusing on the US, Canada and the rest of the world.

The researchers identified the progression of highly pathogenic H5N1 as it spread from Eurasia to the US where it was first documented in late 2021.

By October 2022, the disease had resulted in 31 reported wild bird mass mortalities, accounting for an estimated 33,504 detections in the US and Canada.

In addition, more than 58 million domestic poultry were infected or had to be culled to limit the spread in the US and seven million in Canada.

In 2015, an outbreak of highly pathogenic H5N8 in the US led to the culling of 50 million poultry birds.

But the disease was eradicated in North America that same year, largely because it did not seriously impact wild birds, which made containment through culling poultry relatively easy.

But H5N1 poses new challenges.

Lead author Dr. Johanna Harvey, also from Maryland, said: "Unlike H5N8, this disease is heavily impacting wild birds.

"It's difficult to estimate how many birds are truly affected across wild populations, but we're seeing dramatic disease impacts in raptors, sea birds and colonial nesting birds.

"And we now have the highest amount of poultry loss to avian influenza, so this is a worst-case scenario."

The data also reveal a shift from a seasonal to a year-round disease. Previous outbreaks typically occurred in autumn.

Farmers could prepare, cull flocks to halt the spread of disease and have nearly a full year to recover losses.

But this new virus appears sustained throughout the year, with summertime disease detections in wild birds and poultry outbreaks occurring in both spring and autumn.

The authors suggest the US will follow patterns seen in Europe where highly pathogenic avian influenza is already being treated as an endemic disease rather than something that can be eradicated.

They recommend a management approach similar to processes used to deal with a human pandemic.

Dr. Mullinax said: "Good decision science is what you do when you don't know what is going to happen next.

"This is a novel virus for North American birds, so no one knows if their immune systems will adapt, or how long that will take, or what that will look like.

"Where do we direct our funds for maximum benefit? Is it a vaccine? How do we track it in wild birds? Do we test the water or the soil? What are the triggers for different actions, and how do we measure if we’re succeeding? These decisions have to be made on multiple scales."

The UK's Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs says "there is a very low likelihood of any widespread infection in mammals."

The World Health Organization says 870 humans have been infected with avian flu over the past 20 years, and 457 have died.

These cases occurred when humans came into close contact with infected birds.

Further spread of the H5N1 virus will have to be monitored closely to see whether it is mutating into a form that can spread amongst humans, it says.